31 October 2010

Andhra Bank -Operating performance inline ; buy::Emkay

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Andhra Bank
Operating performance inline; Slippages Rise


BUY

CMP: Rs 176                                       Target Price: Rs 210

n     NII growth ahead of estimates led by 27% growth in advances and 17bps qoq expansion in NIMs. However net profit slightly below expectations
n     Lower employee expenses partially offset negative impact of lower other income and higher provisioning
n     Asset quality deteriorated as GNPA and NNPA increased 33% and 75% sequentially. Provision cover fell to 61% (70% as per RBI norms) from 70% in Q1FY11
n     Valuations attractive at 1.7x FY11E/1.3x FY12E ABV. We maintain our BUY rating with price target of Rs210
Balance sheet growth remains healthy and broad based
The balance sheet growth remained healthy with advances growing by 27% yoy to
Rs610bn driven by healthy growth across the segments. All the segments viz. SME,
Retail, Agri and corporate grew by a healthy 35%, 30%, 24%, and 25% respectively.

Lower trading gains hurt other income
The other income declined by 8.2%qoq to Rs1.9bn as the bank reported lower trading gains
during the quarter along with decline in fee income sequentially. The fee income declined
by 8.8%qoq, while trading gains stood lower at Rs176mn during the quarter.


Pension liability yet to be crystallized and provided
The bank has not yet started providing for second pension liability, hence its employee cost
declined by 9.4%qoq to Rs2.6bn.

Higher provisioning hurts bottom-line
The bank did accelerated provisioning during the quarter to provide for higher slippages. As
a result the net profit growth was lower at just 10.5% to Rs3.0bn. However despite higher
provisioning the coverage ratio feel by 955bps to 61% in Q2FY11.



Asset quality deteriorates; Slippages rise
The bank asset quality deteriorates during the quarter as GNPA increased by 33%qoq,
while NNPA increased by a higher 76.3%qoq. Despite higher provisioning, significant rise in
NNPA indicates higher slippages during the quarter. However, we believe that the same
could be because of the agricultural NPAs. The provision cover declined to 61.1% (78.9%
including technical write off) from 70.7% in the preceding quarter.

Valuations and view
We find valuations attractive at 1.7x FY11E/1.3x FY12E ABV. We maintain our BUY rating
with price target of Rs210

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