06 July 2012

Debt Crisis Update: Muddling Through no Longer an Option: Credit Suisse

"Muddling through" the European debt crisis is no longer an option: Fundamental decisions must be taken, explained Credit Suisse Research Institute members and senior advisors at the recent bi-annual meeting in London. They agreed that although the announcements from the latest EU summit indicate concrete steps towards closer political and economic union, structural reforms and tightening of fiscal budgets are among further, long-term measures required to guarantee the union’s stability. "


Pharmaceuticals-Q1FY13 result preview - Momentum persists : Edelweiss,


We expect the pharma universe to sustain its strong growth trajectory with core margins likely to remain steady sequentially. We see pressure on earnings due to MTM forex losses (result of a sharp INR depreciation) and higher tax rates. Within geographies, we see a strong surge in the US market from limited competition launches and continued exclusivity sales of Ziprasidone/Lipitor. We also expect a firm traction for Sun Pharma (SUNP), Lupin (LPC), Dr. Reddy’s (DRRD) and Cipla among large caps and Glenmark in the mid-cap space. ARBP should also report improved margins.

Daring Derivatives [For July 06, 2012] Sharekhan PDF link



Daring Derivatives
[For July 06, 2012]


Eagle Eye (equities) [For July 06, 2012] Sharekhan PDF link



Eagle Eye (equities)
[For July 06, 2012]


FII & DII trading activity across NSE and BSE 06-07-2012


CategoryBuySellNet
ValueValueValue
FII
1915.84
1344.07571.77
DII
859.8
1083.27-223.47

 
 



Derivatives Report- 06.07.2012 -Angel Broking - PDF link



Derivatives Report


Market Summary - 06.07.2012 -Angel Broking - PDF link




Market Summary


Derivatives Info Kit [For July 06, 2012] Sharekhan PDF link



Derivatives Info Kit
[For July 06, 2012]


Technical Report - 06.07.2012 -Angel Broking - PDF link

Market Outlook - 06.07.2012 -Angel Broking - PDF link

BSE, Bulk deals, 6/7/2012



Deal DateScrip CodeCompanyClient NameDeal Type *QuantityPrice **
6/7/2012531560Aroma EnterprisesSAVAN NANDKUMAR BHATEWARAS3872816.38
6/7/2012533163Arss Infra ProjQuadeye Securities Pvt LtdB9706750.62
6/7/2012533163Arss Infra ProjQuadeye Securities Pvt LtdS9800850.72
6/7/2012512301Chambal BrewRAVI OMPRAKASH AGRAWALS3870094.26
6/7/2012531648Croitre IndsMAHAN TRADING PRIVATE LIMITEDB3700077.43
6/7/2012533333Fineotex ChemECONOMIC BUILDTECH PRIVATE LIMITEDB9400036.96
6/7/2012533333Fineotex ChemCIVIC MARKETING PRIVATE LIMITEDS8974536.98
6/7/2012532642Jindal SouthACACIA BANYAN PARTNERSB80500651.75
6/7/2012532642Jindal SouthCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITEDB158781660.24
6/7/2012532642Jindal SouthCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITEDS158393657.81
6/7/2012532642Jindal SouthACACIA PARTNERS L.PS80500651.75
6/7/2012530165Kanchan IntlHEENA BIPIN SHAHS2700062.73
6/7/2012531206Kwality CredKISHAN KUMAR JAJODIAS2666251.80
6/7/2012505525Parichay InvestVIPIN KUMAR GARGB6050220.95
6/7/2012505525Parichay InvestVIRENDRAKUMAR JAYANTILAL PATELS6802221.44
6/7/2012500333Pix TransSTERLING INVESTMENTB25377538.24
6/7/2012500333Pix TransRAJESH MANHARLAL SANGHVIS25000038.25
6/7/2012513403PM TelelinnksYADAV VISHNU CHHATTARSINGHB52209160.47
6/7/2012531467Polypro FibrilsHARRODS TRADING PRIVATE LIMITEDB10500012.52
6/7/2012531467Polypro FibrilsSTATUS EQUITY AND FINANCE PVT LTDS17600012.50
6/7/2012531611Prraneta IndsTHINK BULL PRIVATE LIMITEDB11753290.78
6/7/2012523445Reliance Indl InfraCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITEDB100882453.01
6/7/2012523445Reliance Indl InfraCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITEDS100882452.97
6/7/2012531646RFL IntlSHAH VIPUL NIRANJANB500008.30
6/7/2012531646RFL IntlSONAL INTERNATIONAL LTDS500008.30
6/7/2012511754Shalibhadra FinROMESH ANILBHAI SHAHB5000059.21
6/7/2012511754Shalibhadra FinJIGNESHKUMAR HARSHVADAN GANDHIB2653059.11
6/7/2012530219SHREEYASHMAYUR NARAYANDAS DARJIS3097423.50
6/7/2012531695SHREYCHEMVINODBHAI KANJIBHAI SAVALIYAB5000057.17
6/7/2012531695SHREYCHEMVINODBHAI KANJIBHAI SAVALIYAS5000055.47
6/7/2012531295Sunlake ResortsDHAVAL A SHAHS516004.54
6/7/2012531295Sunlake ResortsVIJAYA VASANT GAWASS405004.50
6/7/2012532874Suryachakra PowSYNDICATE NIRMAN PRIVATE LIMITEDB10701441.51
6/7/2012532874Suryachakra PowRITA RAJKUMAR SINGHB10000001.51
6/7/2012532874Suryachakra PowSYNDICATE NIRMAN PRIVATE LIMITEDS10701441.51
6/7/2012526139Transgene BioPRASHANT MAHADEV OVHALB48733521.47
6/7/2012526139Transgene BioPRASHANT MAHADEV OVHALS48733520.80
6/7/2012590111VAISHNAVISHARMILA PARVATANENIB1202505.14
6/7/2012531574VAS InfraMANISH RAMESHBHAI VYASS8473735.27
6/7/2012526441Vision TechSRINIVAS KARROTHIB1657898.17
6/7/2012503675WAGENDAASHISH DEVELOPERB23000065.75
6/7/2012506720ZANDUREALTYCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITEDB44271700.53
6/7/2012506720ZANDUREALTYCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITEDS44271697.01
* B - Buy, S - Sell
** = Weighted Average Trade Price / Trade Price



NSE, Bulk deals, 06-Jul-2012



DateSymbolSecurity NameClient NameBuy / SellQuantity TradedTrade Price /
Wght. Avg.
Price
Remarks
06-Jul-20123IINFOTECH3i Infotech LimitedSHREE AERAN MARKETING PVT. LTD.BUY12,51,20212.52-
06-Jul-20123IINFOTECH3i Infotech LimitedSHREE AERAN MARKETING PVT. LTD.SELL12,28,25412.53-
06-Jul-2012ATLASCYCLEAtlas Cycles (Haryana) LtMUKUL AGRAWALBUY20,068406.98-
06-Jul-2012GLOBUSSPRGlobus Spirits LimitedFRANKLIN TEMPLETON MUTUAL FUNDSELL1,50,15196.00-
06-Jul-2012JINDALSWHLJindal SouthWest Hold LtdCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PVT. LTD.BUY1,58,393656.93-
06-Jul-2012JINDALSWHLJindal SouthWest Hold LtdCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PVT. LTD.SELL1,58,781660.11-
06-Jul-2012JISLDVREQSJain DVR Equity SharesRAIMA EQUITIES PRIVATE LIMITEDBUY5743.19-
06-Jul-2012JISLDVREQSJain DVR Equity SharesRAIMA EQUITIES PRIVATE LIMITEDSELL99,40343.87-
06-Jul-2012LITLLanco Infratech LimitedSUNTECK WEALTHMAX CAPITAL PRIVATE LIMITEDBUY181,70,02116.23-
06-Jul-2012LITLLanco Infratech LimitedSUNTECK WEALTHMAX CAPITAL PRIVATE LIMITEDSELL184,56,02116.22-
06-Jul-2012RIILReliance Indl Infra LtdCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PVT. LTD.BUY1,00,843452.63-
06-Jul-2012RIILReliance Indl Infra LtdCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PVT. LTD.SELL1,00,843453.18-
06-Jul-2012RIILReliance Indl Infra LtdSHREE NAMAN SECURITIES & FINANCE PVT. LTDBUY1,03,934453.02-
06-Jul-2012RIILReliance Indl Infra LtdSHREE NAMAN SECURITIES & FINANCE PVT. LTDSELL1,00,210452.63-
06-Jul-2012TEXMOPIPESTexmo Pipe & Products LtdCHETAN MUKUNDRAI PAREKHBUY2,52,05016.54-
06-Jul-2012TEXMOPIPESTexmo Pipe & Products LtdCHETAN MUKUNDRAI PAREKHSELL2,51,49616.38-
06-Jul-2012TEXMOPIPESTexmo Pipe & Products LtdGAJRIA JAYNA PRECISION INDVSTRIES PRIVATE LIMITEDSELL1,97,48615.90-
06-Jul-2012TEXMOPIPESTexmo Pipe & Products LtdHITEN CHANDRAKANTBHAI PARMARSELL2,87,96516.52-
06-Jul-2012TEXMOPIPESTexmo Pipe & Products LtdJAGMALBHAI V VIRDABUY1,26,86116.85-
06-Jul-2012TEXMOPIPESTexmo Pipe & Products LtdJAGMALBHAI V VIRDASELL1,26,86117.42-
06-Jul-2012TEXMOPIPESTexmo Pipe & Products LtdJIGNESH DILIPBHAI RANGOONWALASELL1,40,15916.26-
06-Jul-2012TEXMOPIPESTexmo Pipe & Products LtdMANAV N PATELBUY12,80,98017.86-
06-Jul-2012TEXMOPIPESTexmo Pipe & Products LtdMANAV N PATELSELL12,80,98017.60-
06-Jul-2012TEXMOPIPESTexmo Pipe & Products LtdPRANAV BIPINCHANDRA TRIVEDISELL1,79,95416.52-
06-Jul-2012TEXMOPIPESTexmo Pipe & Products LtdPRASHANT ASHOK GAMREBUY3,97,91916.21-
06-Jul-2012TEXMOPIPESTexmo Pipe & Products LtdPRASHANT ASHOK GAMRESELL3,97,12015.88-
06-Jul-2012TEXMOPIPESTexmo Pipe & Products LtdSHARE HOUSE (P) LTD.BUY1,31,66717.20-
06-Jul-2012TEXMOPIPESTexmo Pipe & Products LtdSHARE HOUSE (P) LTD.SELL1,30,86717.45-
06-Jul-2012ZANDUREALTZandu Realty LimitedCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PVT. LTD.BUY4,5201692.67-
06-Jul-2012ZANDUREALTZandu Realty LimitedCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PVT. LTD.SELL4,3651695.49-


Q1FY13E Result Preview ::ICICI Securities, PDF link

Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd. Rs 86 Reaping benefits from Business Re-structuring BUY:: KRChoksey,


Jain Irrigation (JI) is India’s largest player in micro irrigation with a market share of 55% and 35% in drip and sprinkler irrigation respectively. Globally it ranks second to Israel’s netafim. Additionally JI is a leading player in PVC pipes (15% market share), PE pipes (30% market share), PVC sheets, Onion & Vegetable Dehydration and Fruit processing. We are positive on the current business strategy of the company to focus on strengthening balance sheet over the next 12 to 18 months.

Know your transaction charges: Business Line


My statement says that a transaction charge of Rs 100 has been deducted from my investment. What is a transaction charge and when does it apply?

Q1FY13 Result Preview - Another rundown quarter: Edelweiss Research PDF link


We expect Q1FY13 to be yet another quarter of lacklustre growth. A perceptible slowdown in macro-environment is likely to result in another sub-10% earnings growth for the Sensex universe as well as our coverage universe (ex-OMCs). What is further disconcerting is the continued weakness in earnings breadth—almost a quarter of companies under coverage are expected to post an earnings decline of more than 20.0%. The drawdown of revenue trajectory continues with topline growth expected to come in at 16.6% for coverage universe (ex OMCs) and 15.5% for Sensex. Importantly, however, we expect EBITDA margins to improve sequentially, as in a slowing demand scenario, businesses adjust by shifting focus from growth to profitability through cost rationalisation. 

Thermax:FY12 Annual Report - Key takeaways :: religare research,



FY12 Annual Report takeaways
Key takeaways from TMX’s FY12 annual report are: (1) working capital in FY12
continued to be higher than the historical trend on weakness in order inflows and
increase in receivable days, 2) profitability for the group was impacted by losses in
subsidiaries even as Danstroker grew ahead of expectations and 3) annual report
commentary emphasises on scale-up in exports (26%/22% of consol./standalone
sales) and services (12%/5% of consol./standalone sales) to counter the slowdown in
the domestic Power business. In our opinion, order inflows/earnings are unlikely to
surprise positively in H1FY13E, however valuations are likely to follow business
confidence indices. Maintain BUY.


Book Profits - Tata Sponge - Value Pick- Anand Rathi


Tata Sponge – Value Pick was initiated on 20Th Jan 2012 at a price of 253. CMP is 339, total returns of 34% till date.

Currently there is also Open offer, where promoters are interested to raise their stake.

Therefore we suggest the investors to tender to the open offer which is at a price of Rs. 375 which is at a good premium.

Recently the company also gave a good dividend of Rs. 8 which shows a total return of 37% till date on our call. We suggest clients to book profits/ tender to the open offer as we would like to close our call.


Pending Calls that look good to reach targets…






Gilts trade weak; LAF moves further into comfort zone • Edelweiss



Gilts trade weak; LAF moves further into comfort zone
• In the absence of any fresh triggers other than the auction tomorrow, gilts traded with a
negative bias through the session though movement was limited. The lukewarm response
at yesterday’s FII debt limit auction also dampened spirits to an extent.
• The 10-Y benchmark paper traded in a narrow-range of 8.16-8.18% and closed the day at
8.18% vs 8.16%. Tomorrow’s session will be underlined by the outcome of the INR 150bn
auction as participants await the impact of another OMO-free week.
• The OIS market also traded in a cautious fashion awaiting the outcome of the ECB policy
decision. The 1-Y OIS ended the day flat at 7.76-7.82%, while the 5-Y OIS was also flat at
7.18-7.24%.
Non-SLR Market
SBT placed 3M CD worth INR 2bn @ 8.93%. Union Bank of India placed 1Y CD worth INR 2bn
@ 9.37%. CPCL placed 3M CP worth INR 2bn @ 9.05%.
Money Market
LAF borrowing which plunged yesterday continued to surprise as demand at this window
was under INR 150bn today. If this unexpected easing of the liquidity situation sustains, it
will clearly soften the pressure on the RBI to aggressively pursue OMO activity. Call rates
also moved in sync with this trend and borrowing WAR once again approaches the repo rate
– WAR was at 8.05% vs 8.16%.


Divert surplus to prioritised goals : Business Line



I am 42 years old and my wife is 37. Our combined salary is Rs 40,000 per month. My son is studying in class eight. I live in my own house and had taken a loan for its construction. Our current outstanding mortgage amount is Rs 10.65 lakh which will be repaid by 2021. My monthly EMI is Rs 9,100.
Our monthly expense is Rs 25,000. It includes home loan EMI, LIC contribution of Rs 1,300 with sum insured of Rs 1 lakh for self (maturing in 2018), spouse (2019) and son (2026) and school fees of Rs 1,300.
Till recently, our surplus was spent in meeting my MBA expenses and my wife’s Ph.D degree costs. From next month, we will have monthly a surplus of Rs 10,000 and it is likely to increase once she completes her higher studies.
My future requirements are: Rs 10 lakh (in present value) for my son’s higher education in 2017 and Rs 5 lakh for his marriage in 2025.
We wish to save for our retired life and we expect to live till 75.
Our PF balance is Rs 4 lakh. My monthly EPF contribution is Rs 900 while that of my wife’s is Rs 930.
What should I do to achieve my goals with the present level of income? How much investment should be made in equity, debt funds and gold? .
My family is not covered by any health policy. I have a cover for Rs 1 lakh from my employer.
— Kannan


Edelweiss Technical Reflection (ETR) 6 July



Edelweiss Technical Reflection (ETR)
Indian markets climbed higher for the third consecutive session albeit with marginal gain of 0.47%. The bias remained upwards for the Nifty throughout the session yesterday as it managed to breach previous couple of days’ resistance of 5317 and maintained strength to close above the technical and psychological barrier of 5300. Volumes continue to clock at an average rate and the market breadth was favoring the advances. Upside momentum seems to be losing strength in the short-term as RSI and Stochastic (oscillators) test the overbought territory, warning of profit taking. Since we are in the final session of the week, it is imperative that the bulls maintain strength above 5300 to stamp their authority and also manage a close above 5278 to avoid weekly loss which could trigger a round of correction. Immediate support for Nifty is pegged at 5295/5388 and resistance is at 5342. As per the overall structure, we expect Nifty to test the 20-month trend line target of 5440 before witnessing any meaningful corrective action.

Sectoral indices ended mixed with gains coming from FMCG (+1.03%), Banking (+1.01%) and Cap Goods (+0.87%); whereas profit taking was witnessed in Realty (-0.43%), Metals (-0.39%) and Oil & Gas (-0.14%). Among the broader markets, Mid-cap and Small-cap indices ended the day with gains of 0.90% and 1.64% respectively, outperforming their frontline peer.

Bullish Setups: TATA, GSPL, ICICIBC, PWGR, DLFU, ADE
Bearish Setups: TTMT/A

Regards,
Edelweiss Research