01 April 2012

IPO Grey Market Premium: NBCC, MT Educare :1 April 2012

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Company Name
Offer Price (Rs)
Expected Listing Price Premium



National Buildings Construction Corporation (NBCC)
Rs 90/- to Rs 106/-
(retail 5% discount)
None. Expected to list at IPO price. Retail may expect 5% as they get discount.
MT EDUCARE
Rs.74 to Rs.80
Discount

Under-estimating subsidies:: Business Line

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H1FY13-Govt. Borrowing Calendar: Negative on yields :MSFL

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The Reserve Bank of India unveiled GoI borrowing program for the first half of FY2013. The cumulative borrowing for H1-FY13 at ` 3.7trln comprises 65% of the total Budget estimate of Gross borrowing for FY13. The borrowing would be on an average of ` 150bln to ` 180bln per week with 72% of the borrowing coming from longer term maturity (>10yrs). The front-loading is a normal phenomenon; nonetheless the proportion is much higher given a historic average of 56%. The market off-late has been skeptical of the ability of Government meeting the fiscal targets and hence weary of absorbing such higher quantum of borrowings without support from the central bank. The borrowing program During H1FY13, RBI plans to borrow ` 3700bln, forming about 65% of the budgeted gross borrowings for FY2013. Breaking down further, the central bank plans to issue securities worth ` 1880bln during Q1FY13, while remaining ` 1820bln will be raised during Q2FY2013. Every week would see auctions of ` 1500bln-` 1800bln, apart from the weeks of advance tax-flow. For the fiscal, (FY13) the total issuance is pegged at ` 5.7trillion, which corresponds with the government's fiscal deficit target of 5.1% of gross domestic product (GDP). From maturity perspective, the bond issuance is heavily tilted towards longer maturities (~72% of total issuance with 10yrs+ tenure).

Initiating Coverage Report CUMMINS INDIA LTD Recommendation: BUY : Target price: `537 :Microsec

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We recommend Cummins India a “BUY”. Cummins India is country’s leading manufacturer of Diesel and
Gas Engines with strong foundation, unmatched technology & products, scale and time tested strategies.
The company doubled its revenue in the last five years to INR3945.44 crores and is poised to grow at a
CAGR of 14% for the next five years. Cummins India would make headway from the operations at
Megasite at Phaltan in coming years which would foster the margin back to the historic levels and
contribute around additional of INR1500crores to the revenues by 2015.

T&D EQUIPMENT SECTOR UPDATE :: Kotak Securities PDF link

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http://www.kotaksecurities.com/pdf/dmb/MorningInsight28032012.pdf


T&D EQUIPMENT SECTOR UPDATE
Analysis of tenders awarded by PGCIL indicates that ordering in FY12 has
been healthy possibly due to it being the final year of the 11th plan period.
However, our interaction with an industry player suggests that PGCIL
ordering may decline in FY13 as it being the first year of the 12th plan
period.

Hold MindTree ; Target : Rs 511 : ICICI Securities, PDF link

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http://content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/ICICIdirect_MindTree_InitiatingCoverage.pdf


B a c k   t o   b a s i c s …
MindTree Ltd (MTL) primarily earns revenues from product engineering
(PES) & IT services & provides IT services to customers across
manufacturing, banking financial services & insurance (BSFI) and travel &
transportation verticals. MTL predominantly provides application
development & maintenance and testing & infrastructure management
services. Renewed management focus on growing IT services revenues &
operating margin expansion could abate investor concerns, accelerated
by events such as handset foray & exit of founder chairman. We expect
revenues/net profit to grow at 20.2%/3.7% CAGR during FY10-FY13E
period coupled with a 122 bps expansion in EBITDA margins to 16% in
FY13E. Though valuations appear reasonable, higher contribution of
discretionary services portfolio remains a concern. Noticeably, R&D
outsourcing services are late cyclical & generally lag IT services in
recovery. Consequently, we initiate MindTree with HOLD rating.

Home loan insurance proves popular:: Business Line

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While the popularity of home loan insurance cover has shot up, hazard insurance is yet to pick up.
Mr Mohit Kumar, 35, an MBA Mechanical Engineer in Kolkata, bought a new property in one of the posh areas of the city. Happy with his new asset possession, he opted for home loan insurance cover. A few days later, he received a call from an insurance company offering him home insurance. But he refused it.
To the uninitiated, the two may sound similar, but there is actually a subtle difference between the two. While home loan insurance covers the loan amount, in case of a default arising out of death and permanent disability, a home insurance (or hazard insurance as it is commonly differentiated as) protects the property against fire and disasters.
While the popularity of home loan insurance cover has shot up, in the case of hazard insurance, the demand is yet to pick up.
Mr Mayank Saxena, Managing Director, Kolkata, at real estate consultancy firm, Jones Lang Lasalle (JLLS) India, maintains: “Home insurance cover is yet to become popular in the present scenario. People are yet to become aware of the provisions. Sometimes, it's just the mindset.”
Market sources admit home loan insurance covers are more popular, thanks to their bundling by banks. While bundling in itself isn't mandatory, banks encourage such offers following a rise in home loan demands.
A senior official at a public sector bank admits that it's a “win-win” situation for banks, as they needn't worry regarding recovery in case of a default. For the customer, he leaves no liability on his nominee.
“Home loan insurance is fast picking up. Along with this, we offer add-on covers for fire and burglary. The segment has potential for growth,” Mr Sanjay Datta, Head, underwriting and claims, ICICI Lombard said.

BANKERS' ADVANTAGE

Recent figures from the Reserve Bank India (RBI) show that as on February 2012, Rs 2,53,100 crore is the total deployment of bank credit in the housing sector. Banks' exposure in this sector is higher by 12 per cent (from Rs 2,26,500 crore during this period last year).
This figure, coupled with the fear of defaults, has forced banks to suggest insurance cover on the amount of loan extended.
Typically, a bank asks a customer to go in for a “term plan”, where his life is covered with an amount equivalent to that of the loan amount. The customer pays a premium, either one-time or spread across three to four years. For example, on a loan amount of Rs 20 lakh, the customer typically pays an estimated one-time premium of around Rs 20,000-Rs 25,000 for buying the additional insurance cover. The premium depends on the age of the customer and tenure of loan.
In some cases, even this one-time premium can be taken as an additional loan amount from the banks. This is later bundled into the EMI (equated monthly instalment).
Says Ms Trishna Guha, General Manager, Retail, Allahabad Bank, “During the last couple of years, we have been trying to educate customers to go in for home loan insurance. In fact, we have been more or less able to provide such insurance covers with our home loans in a majority of cases.”
Allahabad Bank, on its part, has tied up with Kotak Life and Life Insurance Corporation for sale of term cover, for insuring the life of the borrower. It also has a tie-up with a general insurance company, Universal Sompo, for extending home insurance. However, according to Ms Guha, the “latter product hardly has many takers”.
According to Mr Mukesh Kumar, Head – Strategic Planning, HDFC ERGO General Insurance Co. Ltd, many of the financial institutions offer a bundled product which covers both insurance covers. “Our Home Suraksha Plus is one such package policy which offers cover for the home (including the contents of the house) as well as the borrower,” he said.
Developers, too, are known to ask people to take up home insurance cover at times.
“We ask people to opt for home loan insurance (mortgage insurance), rather than home insurance. In some cases, even the banks are insisting on mandatory home loan insurance,” Mr Pradeep Chopra, Chairman and Managing Director, PS Group, told Business Line.

HOME INSURANCE

Incidentally, General Insurance companies, too, admit this. Of their total exposure, around one per cent is for home insurance.
“Unfortunately, home insurance is the least priority. There is a perceptible apathy in this regard. Housing loans have led to the growth in home (loan) insurance, purely at the bank's insistence. However, home insurance (hazard insurance) hardly has takers,” Mr T. A. Ramalingam, Head – Underwriting, Bajaj Allianz General Insurance, said.
According to him, even if people take such covers (hazard insurance) following insistence by the banks, there are hardly any renewals after the first year.
Mr Amarnath Ananthanarayanan, CEO and Managing Director, Bharti Axa, said that despite the low annual premium, between Rs 1,000 to Rs 1,500, there is an apparent disinterest in home insurance.

GROWING MARKET

According to him, the concept (home insurance) is quite prevalent in developed nations, particularly the Western countries.
“Family elders in India still stay with their children, and the house remains attended throughout the day. However, in the West, the culture of nuclear families and working couples has resulted in a steady growth in this segment,” he said.
However, with the nuclear family culture catching up here, market opportunities are set to rise in India. “India is still an underpenetrated market in all senses of the term,” he added.

Hold Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) Target :Rs 287 : ICICI Securities, PDF link

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http://content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/ICICIdirect_ONGC_InitiatingCoverage.pdf




O i l   g i a n t   p u s h i n g   t h r o u g h   o b s t a c l e  s …
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC), India’s largest national oil & gas
company, is primarily engaged in exploration, development and
production of crude oil and natural gas in both India and abroad. ONGC’s
core strength lies in its strong resource base and increasing production
resulting  from  aggressive  capex. We  expect ONGC  to  grow  at  a  CAGR  of
10.2% in revenues over FY11-14E on  the  back  of  steady  growth  in
revenues from oil & gas sales and growth in MRPL’s revenues. ONGC is
expected to report net profit of | 22,903.3 crore in FY14E. The
government reforms in pricing of petroleum products/price hikes would
add significantly to the earnings and valuation of the company. We are
initiating coverage on ONGC with a HOLD rating and target price of | 287.

Sesa Goa: Fine-tuning fair value post recent developments :: Kotak Securities PDF link

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http://www.kotaksecurities.com/pdf/indiadaily/indiadaily27032012.pdf


Sesa Goa: Fine-tuning fair value post recent developments
` Rating moved to ADD (from REDUCE) for Sesa, unchanged for Sterlite
` Sesa-Sterlite will have scale but with constraints on fungibilty of cash

Jay Bharat Maruti -Q4FY12 Results to improve tremendously!!! :: Nirmal Bang

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Q4FY12 Results to improve tremendously!!!
Jay Bharat Maruti Limited (JBML) is a joint venture between JBM Group and Maruti Suzuki with Maruti holding a 29.38% stake. JBML is a key supplier to Maruti Suzuki India Ltd (Maruti Suzuki) and garners around 90-92% of its total revenues from Maruti Suzuki. Its other customers are Eicher Motors and Mahindra and Mahindra.

Technicals- Karur Vysya Bank, Anant raj, hcl, NMDC, NTPC, Bata, :: Business Line

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Please discuss the medium- and long-term outlook of Karur Vysya Bank. Can I enter the stock at this level?
J. Senthan
Karur Vysya Bank (Rs 372.9): Karur Vysya Bank has weathered the market correction in 2011 quite well. It has retraced about 38.2 per cent of the rally from March 2009 low and is currently attempting to hold above this level. The structural trend in this stock continues to be up.
Investors can buy the stock on declines with stop at Rs 350. Those already in possession of the stock can continue to hold with stop at Rs 350. Medium-term view will turn negative only on a weekly close below this level. Subsequent supports are at Rs 306 and Rs 260.
Resistances for the months ahead will be at Rs 440 and Rs 500. Those with shorter investment horizon can exit the stock at either of these levels. Inability to move above Rs 500 will keep the stock in the zone between Rs 350 and Rs 500 for a few months.
Such a move will, however, mean that the long-term view stays positive. Long-term targets on break above the Rs 500 ceiling are Rs 565 and Rs 719.

Cipla: Deep dive into inhalers opportunity :: Kotak Securities PDF link

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http://www.kotaksecurities.com/pdf/indiadaily/indiadaily28032012.pdf


Deep dive into inhalers opportunity. We view the inhalers opportunity for generic
companies such as Cipla with cautious optimism. We believe the Street is ignoring certain
facts which make this a tough market to enter, although it remains a lucrative market yet
to be genericized. The following reasons make us cautious—(1) patent protection on the
device runs longer than the product patent, (2) will remain physician-oriented markets
necessitating strong marketing partnerships which Cipla lacks, (3) stringent regulatory
environment would imply country-wise approvals rather than a pan-European approval,
and (4) generic Advair, largest inhaler worldwide, genericized in EU, but with limited
success so far. Move to REDUCE (was SELL); TP Rs315 (was Rs320), 18X FY2013E EPS.

Pharmaceuticals: Recent outperformance notwithstanding, maintain SUN, Lupin, Divis as top picks :: Kotak Securities PDF link

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http://www.kotaksecurities.com/pdf/indiadaily/indiadaily29032012.pdf



Pharmaceuticals: Recent outperformance notwithstanding, maintain SUN,
Lupin, Divis as top picks
` SUN and Lupin outperform, up 5% and 15% respectively since 3QFY12
results
` Cipla underperforms, down 14% since poor 3QFY12 results; maintain
REDUCE
` Divis - buy into weakness, top pick among CRAMS companies we cover

India Cements: Reasonable valuation, favorable cost :: Kotak Securities PDF link

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http://www.kotaksecurities.com/pdf/indiadaily/indiadaily29032012.pdf



India Cements: Reasonable valuation, favorable cost structure
` Prices spike in South India yet again in peak construction season
` ICEM better-positioned to counter the recent cost push due to lower
domestic fuel dependence
` Valuations at steep discount to peers, earnings upgrade cycle still has some
steam left


Hindalco Industries: Correction not enough to turn constructive :: Kotak Securities PDF link

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http://www.kotaksecurities.com/pdf/indiadaily/indiadaily27032012.pdf


Hindalco Industries: Correction not enough to turn constructive
` Mahan: A thorn in the flesh
` Coal price increase impacts extant operations
` Leverage may be aggressive and require equity infusion to correct

Strategy: No longer a matter of philosophy :: Kotak Securities PDF link


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http://www.kotaksecurities.com/pdf/indiadaily/indiadaily26032012.pdf


No longer a matter of philosophy. Recent press articles on purported large losses to
the exchequer as computed by India’s CAG on coal blocks awarded to the private
sector in the past will likely raise questions about (1) the Government’s response in
‘taxing’ the profits derived from natural resources awarded at low cost in the past and
(2) award of such natural resources in the future. Our February 28, 2012 report, titled
Philosophical questions but logical outcomes, deals with these issues in great detail.

CEA directs no gas-based addition, pooling faces resistance :: Kotak Securities PDF link


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http://www.kotaksecurities.com/pdf/indiadaily/indiadaily28032012.pdf

CEA directs no gas-based addition, pooling faces resistance. Central Electricity
Authority (CEA) has issued a directive to put on hold all gas-based capacities citing poor
domestic supplies. Further media reports indicate that Ministry of Power is not
encouraging pooling of gas prices—suggesting that extant gas-based capacities will
continue to operate at lower utilizations such as those of NTPC (4,017 MW) and Lanco
(734 MW), while near-completed capacities such as those of Reliance Power (2,262
MW) and Lanco (742 MW) will likely remain mothballed for some time to come.

Apollo Tyres: Takeaways from recent market data :: Kotak Securities PDF link

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http://www.kotaksecurities.com/pdf/indiadaily/indiadaily29032012.pdf


Apollo Tyres: Takeaways from recent market data
` Imports are losing market share in truck/bus segment on depreciating
Rupee
` Exports continue to exhibit strong growth
` European passenger car tire market weakening
` Domestic tire production de-grows in January; likely to have picked up in
March

Buy Bajaj Finserv; Target : 772 : ICICI Securities, PDF link

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http://content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/ICICIdirect_BajajFinserv_CompanyUpdate.pdf


P l a y   o n   I n d i a n   i n s u r a n c e   i n d u s t r y …
Bajaj Finserv is the financial services arm of the Bajaj group generating
annual profit of | 1148 crore, surging 100% YoY in FY11. The standalone
profit came at | 188 crore. Consolidated return ratios also remain strong
with RoA of 2.6% and RoE of 35.1% on an average in spite of the
insurance business being incorporated.
Insurance, both life and general, contributes 90.6% in consolidated
revenues and 76.6% in PBT, being the single major business segment.
Lower general insurance profit impacted the margins of the insurance
segment at 9.3% in FY11. It maintains lower margins mainly due to the
general insurance knock. The standalone life business had 11.3% PBT
margin and 16.6% NBAP margin in FY11. The financing business, on the
contrary, has higher margins contributing 20.5% to profit. It clocked
strong growth in disbursements while maintaining healthy NIMs.


HDFC Ltd: Management Meet Note : ICICI Securities, PDF link

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http://content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/ICICIdirect_HDFC_MangementMeetUpdate.pdf


G r o w t h   m o m e n t u m   t o   c o n t i n u e …
We met the management of HDFC Ltd (HDFC) to get an insight into its
growth plans, the state of the  housing finance industry and the
company’s current state of affairs. HDFC is the largest mortgage finance
company in India with an outstanding loan book of | 1322 billion as on
Q3FY12 mainly providing loans for the purchase or construction of
residential houses to individuals. It has a pan-India network of 304 outlets
including 74 outlets belonging to its wholly owned distribution company.
Over  a  period  of  time,  it  has  also  emerged as a financial conglomerate
with interests beyond mortgages (as depicted in exhibit 4). It has a track
record of consistent growth in business, strong asset quality, stable
margins, ability to raise funds easily and healthy return ratios, which
enables it to command high valuations.

Buy ZENSAR TECHNOLOGIES - Target Rs 220 :: Kotak Securities PDF link

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http://www.kotaksecurities.com/pdf/dmb/MorningInsight29032012.pdf


ZENSAR TECHNOLOGIES LTD
PRICE: RS.180 RECOMMENDATION: BUY
TARGET  PRICE:  RS.220 FY13E P/E: 4.4X
q We interacted with the management of Zensar recently. The meeting reinforces our optimism on the long term prospects of the company.
q The management has not seen any cause of concern within its top clients, as yet.
q Cisco, which has been facing scale up issues over the past three quarters,
is expected to see higher revenue growth, going ahead.
q According to the management, Zensar is expected to get additional revenues as one of the large Indian vendors has been rationalized by Cisco.
q Post the acquisition of Akibia, Zensar is in a position to cross sell services
to the mutually exclusive set of clients and this is expected to help
growth rates. Order booking for combined services is at about $12mn
currently, we understand.

Income Tax refund ::Business Line

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I am a senior citizen, a telecom pensioner, and I received Rs 2,59,913 as pension for assessment year 2012-2013. I am to pay income tax of Rs 948 this month. As I have no savings for deduction, I have told the bank to deduct the amount from my pension for the month of March 2012.
I have taken a reverse mortgage loan of Rs 4,00,000 in September 2009 from Corporation Bank, to bridge the loan taken while buying the house earlier, and this point has been mentioned in the loan application. I have been remitting Rs 4000 per month as EMI. From March 2011 to February 2012, I have remitted Rs 47,000 towards interest for this amount. I can take a statement from Corporation Bank. Will I be eligible for claiming a refund of Rs 948? Kindly clarify.
— K. S. Srinivasan, Ernakulam
It is good that reverse mortgage loans can be accessed while still repaying an outstanding loan on your home. This is possible due to the fact that you have clear titles, suggesting that the house is completely self-acquired, providing clarity of ownership, once the loan is repaid! Also, in spite of the fact that your eligibility and purposes of the loan could be capped, this is very good for you, as it helps you handle expenses that could come your way! The incoming money from your reverse mortgage loan, by itself, isn't taxable.
You also receive a pension that amounts to more than Rs 2.5 lakh, every year. Let's compare your situation to a salaried individual who has more than one income — say, one source is his salary, and the second, a passive income, which is exempt from tax. If he has a home loan, it really doesn't matter from which source he pays his home loan; he would still be eligible to claim tax benefits on his interest.
In that respect, you should consider incoming money from various sources as a single pool, when you need to factor in outgoing money that is eligible for tax exemption! So, in conclusion, do go ahead, submit the statement proof from the bank, and claim tax benefits for the interest repayment of your existing home loan. Hope this provides the required clarity for your situation.

Capacity growth perks up refiners, PTC Financial unlocks value, Another acquisition by L&T Finance :: Business Line

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The commissioning of the 9-million-tonnes-a-year Bathinda refinery by HPCL-Mittal Energy Ltd (HMEL) was cheered by the market. The HPCL stock rose by 7 per cent on Friday. Joint venture partners HPCL and Mittal Energy hold 49 per cent each in HMEL.
The refinery, long in the works, has the capacity to cater to the entire fuel needs of Punjab, and strengthens HPCL's position in north India. Also, due to its proximity to Pakistan, exports from the refinery could be considered in the future.

April 1: Pivotals - Reliance Industries,Infosys, SBI, Tata Steel, :: Business Line

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Pivotals - Reliance Industries (Rs 748.2)


RIL managed to recover its initial loss and closed on a marginally positive note for the week. However, its short-term trend continues to be down as long as it trades below Rs 800. A decline below the immediate support at Rs 723 will pull the stock down to Rs 700 in the short-term. Next key medium-term support is at Rs 675.
On the other hand, a rally above Rs 770 is needed to push the stock higher to Rs 783 or to Rs 800. A decisive move above Rs 810 will amend the downtrend and lift the stock to Rs 830. Resistance above this level is at Rs 864.

52-WEEK FLOP: EVERONN EDUCATION :: Business Line

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Exide Industries - Buy:: Business Line

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Man Infraconstruction: Sell :: Business Line

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52-WEEK BLOCKBUSTER: BRITANNIA INDUSTRIES :: Business Line

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Sharekhan's top equity mutual fund picks :: ShareKhan PDF Link


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MUTUAL GAINS
Sharekhan's top equity mutual fund picks

Large-cap fundsMid-cap fundsMulti-cap funds
ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity Fund - RetSBI Magnum Sector Funds Umbrella - Emerg Buss FundICICI Prudential Discovery Fund
Franklin India BluechipHDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities FundSBI Magnum Global Fund 94
Principal Large Cap FundDSP BlackRock Small and Midcap FundReliance Equity Opportunities Fund
DSP BlackRock Top 100 Equity Fund - IPReligare Mid Cap FundMirae Asset India Opportunities Fund - Reg
UTI Wealth Builder Fund - Series IIIDFC Sterling Equity Fund Reliance NRI Equity Fund
IndicesIndicesIndices
BSE SensexBSE MID CAPBSE 500
Tax saving fundsThematic fundsBalanced funds
ICICI Prudential TaxplanFidelity India Special Situations FundHDFC Prudence Fund
Canara Robeco Equity TaxsaverCanara Robeco Infrastructure FundHDFC Balanced Fund
Reliance Tax Saver (ELSS) FundUTI India Lifestyle FundReliance RSF - Balanced
Tata Tax Advantage Fund - 1Birla Sun Life India GenNext FundCanara Robeco Balance
Taurus TaxshieldDSP BlackRock Natural Resources & New Energy Fund-RetTata Balanced Fund
IndicesIndicesIndices
CNX500S&P NiftyCrisil Balanced Fund Index

Fund focus
  • UTI India Lifestyle Fund

 

Click here to read report: Investor's Eye


GSPL: Light at the end of the tunnel :: Kotak Securities PDF link


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http://www.kotaksecurities.com/pdf/indiadaily/indiadaily28032012.pdf

Light at the end of the tunnel. We revise our rating on GSPL to ADD from REDUCE
after the correction in stock price, noting (1) reasonable valuations at 8.8X FY2013E
earnings and (2) potential upside of 16% from current levels. We remain cautious on
gas transmission volumes in the near term given likely decline in gas supply from KG
D-6 block. However, we expect GSPL’s extant pipeline network to benefit in the long
term from (1) proposed capacity expansion of Dahej and Hazira LNG terminals and
(2) incremental gas supply from RIL’s satellite fields and R-series discovery in KG D-6.

Sizzling Stocks - Ranbaxy Laboratories, Pidilite Industries :: Business Line

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Sizzling Stocks - Ranbaxy Laboratories (Rs 469)


After taking support in the price band between Rs 400 and Rs 410, Ranbaxy skyrocketed 13 per cent with good volumes in the last week. With this up move the stock appears to have resumed its medium-term uptrend that has been place since its December 2011 trough.
However, the stock is facing key long-term resistance ahead at Rs 475 and the 200-day moving average is around this level.
Following a testing of this resistance at Rs 475, a conclusive breakthrough of it will take the stock higher to Rs 510 and then to Rs 530 in the medium-term. Next resistance is at Rs 555. Conversely, failure to surpass the aforesaid resistance will pull the stock down to Rs 445 or even to the Rs 400-410 support band in the same time frame. A fall below Rs 400 will mar the stock's medium-term uptrend and drag the stock down to Rs 370 and then to its long-term significant support at Rs 350.
Pidilite Industries (Rs 177.5)
Pidilite Industries zoomed more than 12 per cent in the previous week, emphatically breaking out of key resistance at Rs 159 and Rs 168. But the stock is presently testing its important long-term resistance at Rs 180. The stock has breached the upper boundary of its daily Bollinger band. Further, its daily indicators and oscillators are featuring in the overbought area implying that the stock is on the brink of a near-term correction.
Hence, a downward reversal can pull the stock down to Rs 169 or to Rs 164 in the short-term. As long as the stock trades above Rs 159, its medium-term trend remains up. A decisive rally above Rs 180 will take the stock to new highs of Rs 200 and then to Rs 212 in the medium-term.

Fund Talk - What you should do with your Fidelity funds:: Business Line

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The day-to-day operations of buying, selling and monitoring of the funds do not stop.
The news is out that the mutual fund business of Fidelity in India will be taken over by L&T Finance.
Are you worried about what will happen to the Fidelity funds you own?
First, don't panic about the safety of your money. The assets managed by Fidelity are being sold to L&T Finance (which owns L&T Mutual) for an undisclosed consideration. That means only your portfolio is changing hands. Your investment in the schemes, which is with the custodian, is not touched for the purpose of this sale.
Second, mutual funds, as an industry, are highly regulated and there is normally a smooth takeover, once approvals are received. The day-to-day operations of buying, selling and monitoring of the funds do not stop, nor will your SIP transactions come to a standstill.
So is it business as usual? Not really.

Now, shell out more premium for insurance:: Business Lines

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The budget has made insurance products of all types costlier. Expect premiums in all insurance products - unit linked insurance plans(ULIPs), traditional endowment and term policies to get more expensive.
Here we examine how much more you need to fork out for the life insurance policies that you hold or may wish to buy.
We also suggest an alternate investment plan for you to derive better returns.
Costlier ULIPs:
Life insurance companies offering ULIPs charge you expenses under many heads.
The premium allocation charge is 6.75-7.5 per cent of your premiums in the first year and around 4-5 per cent till the fifth year. After the fifth year, the charges are in the 2.5-3.5 per cent range across insurance companies. Apart from these, you will have policy administration charges of Rs 30-50 per month and fund management charges of 0.7-2 per cent. For a 35 year old, Rs 1.73-2 is charged per 1000 of life insurance cover per month.
Service tax was earlier payable only on mortality charges and fund management charge.
Now, all the above mentioned charges will be added for calculation of service tax.
To illustrate, for a Rs 1 lakh premium, in the first year, there will be Rs 6750 charged for premium allocation, Rs 360 for policy administration, Rs 700 for fund management and Rs 2076 as mortality charges.
Currently, you would have paid 10.3 percent service tax on Rs 2776(2076+700), amounting to Rs 286. Now, that amount would be Rs 1221 (12.36 percent tax on all charges together – Rs 9886).
That means paying Rs 985 more for the first year!
Expensive traditional plans:
Traditional endowment or whole-life or money-back plans, those that give you returns of 5-7 percent returns, do not give the split between various charges.
So, you would be charged a flat 3 percent on the first year premium (up from 1.5 percent currently) and 1.5 percent in the subsequent years.
If you paid Rs 155 on the first year premium, a new policy would entail an Rs 309 payout. This would bring down the already low returns offered by these products.
Term plans, those that offer just a risk cover and no return, would be costlier to the extent of the increase in service tax.
So, if you took a term policy by paying an annual premium of Rs 10000, the service tax would be Rs 1030. Starting April, that would be Rs 1236.
Easy investment strategy:
It is prohibitively expensive to terminate a ULIP product in the first few years. You need to have a 10-15 year horizon for you to derive maximum benefit in light of the expensive nature of the product. The increase in service tax makes it even more costlier.
For an investment horizon of 10-15 years, you might as well start SIPs(systematic investment plan) in high-quality diversified equity plans, which have much lower management charges, no entry load and superior returns over longer timeframes.
To protect yourself and your financial goals, take a term plan for sufficiently large value. This is both inexpensive and effective.
Endowment plans too with their poor returns may not be the ideal vehicles for long-term investment. If you extremely risk averse, you can invest periodically in PPF, where interest rates and limits have been enhanced. This would fetch you both tax benefits and better returns compared to traditional plans. The PPF can also be extended in two blocks of five years each. Again do not fail to take a term cover for protection.