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16 November 2012

Tata Motors (CMP Rs272, BUY):: BRICS


Tata Motors (CMP Rs272, BUY)
YTDFY13 JLR sales up 21% yoy

Tata  Motors’  JLR  sales  (wholesale)  for  October  2012  were lower that
estimated  at  27,897  units,  up  7%  yoy (up 5% mom). Land Rover sales of
24,558  units  —  up  17%  yoy (up 4% mom) — partially offset the impact of
decline  of  37% yoy (up 19% mom) in Jaguar sales to 3,339 units on overall
sales.

Monthly volume in line with expectation: Over the last three years, average
sales  in  Q3 have contributed ~27% of JLR’s annual volume, as against ~31%
in  Q4.  Based  on  this  trend  as a guideline, JLR’s monthly sales can be
estimated  to be ~31,500 units in Q3. JLR’s sales for October 2012 improved
mom, but were lower than the estimated run-rate for the quarter.

Maintenance shutdown and model change impact sales

   US - JLR’s sales down 20% yoy

   UK – JLR posts slower than average growth in luxury cars; up 15% yoy

   Russia – JLR's sales growth slows down to 22% yoy
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