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19 January 2012

Punj Lloyd : Takeaways from India Infrastructure Conference – Tough Times:: Citi

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Punj Lloyd (PUJL.BO)
Alert: Takeaways from India Infrastructure Conference – Tough
Times Likely Nearing an End
 Takeaways from Mumbai – Punj Lloyd presented at our India Infrastructure and
Industrials Conference in Mumbai on 10-11 Jan. Below we highlight key takeaways.
 Steady improvement in operations – Company has gone through a rough patch over
the past one year, but says things are under control and improving. No new issues
(auditor qualifications / customer disputes) have emerged in recent times, and losses in
Simon Carves are over.
 Libyan orders set to start execution in 1-2 months – Based on the situation on the
ground, company believes that it will be able to start execution of Libyan orders in 1-2
months. PLL has ~Rs39bn worth of orders from Libya.
 Orders and margins – PLL has won Rs120bn of orders in YTD FY12. Current order
backlog at similar to those reported in 1HFY12 numbers. Company targets >10%
margin at project level. 30% of projects have price variation clause for raw materials.
 Outlook on different sectors – (1) Power BOP – Company has won orders from
GVK, CESC and KSK, but order inflow is now slow given problems in the power sector.
(2) Pipeline – Average annual market size is Rs25bn, of which PLL has 25% share.
This market is likely to increase to Rs40bn/yr. (3) Oil and gas onshore EPC – Slow as
of now, but some projects which had been deferred are now being revived. The
addressable market size is Rs40-50bn/yr. (4) Tanks and Terminals – There is
substantial activity in tanks and terminal space. Over next two years, 8-10 strategic oil
reserves projects (each of Rs8-10bn) are likely to be given out. There are a number of
LNG terminals and tanks orders from these which could be in the Rs2-4bn range each.
 Balance sheet and working capital – Current debt is ~Rs51.5bn with average
interest cost of ~11%. ~29% of debt is denominated in foreign currency compared to
~70% of revenues in foreign currency. As a result, company is looking to substitute
high-cost INR debt with foreign currency debt to reduce interest cost. Currently
company has ~Rs15bn receivables pending due to various reasons (~Rs4.9bn from
ONGC + Rs3bn in India from OMCs and others). Oil marketing companies (OMCs)
have delayed payment due to stress on their financials, which has resulted in some
pressure on working capital.

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