30 May 2011

IMPORTANT:: Indian stocks Experts Own (Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, Goldman Sachs)

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What Indian stocks to Experts Like Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and Goldman Sachs OWN?

Follow the experts and gain!!


Rakesh Jhunjhunwala- Click to see What stocks he owns! 




News headlines:: Kotak Sec, May 30, 2011

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Economy News
4 The V K Shunglu committee, appointed to suggest ways to improve the
financial condition of power distribution utilities, has suggested that nonperforming
power regulators be sacked. The report has suggested stern
measures because several state power regulators have not been carrying
out annual tariff revisions, mandated by the Electricity Act. (BS)
4 South-west monsoon today made a grand entry into Kerala, bringing
cheer to the farming community dependent on rains for a good crop.
Southwest monsoon has set in over most parts of South Arabian Sea,
Kerala, some parts of Tamil Nadu, South Bay of Bengal and south
Andaman Sea. (ET)
4 The finance ministry is facing an internal conflict over income tax refunds.
The Income-Tax Department has turned down a proposal by the
Department of Economic Affairs (DEA) to go slow on refunds to
taxpayers. The matter has escalated and reached Finance Minister
Pranab Mukherjee. (BS)
4 Limited availability of domestic coal and gas is constraining development
of Indian power sector, which is expected to see on average an annual
capacity addition of 12,000 MW over next five years, says a report. (BS)
4 Delhi may soon become the first city in the country to dole out cash
payouts instead of subsidised kerosene to the BPL families, a move aimed
at controlling widespread pilferage of the fuel. (ET)
Corporate News
4 Reckitt Benckiser, which bought Paras Pharmaceuticals last year in one
of the largest deals in the Indian FMCG space, is set to sell the latter’s
personal care business. Sources say Reckitt, which makes Lizol and Dettol,
has asked JP Morgan to find a buyer for the business. (BS)
4 The board of film and entertainment company Reliance MediaWorks
has approved raising up to Rs 5 Bn ($111 million) through a rights equity
issue. The timing, pricing and other details would be announced later,
Reliance MediaWorks. (BS)
4 Chennai-based oil rig company Aban Offshore Ltd is planning to raise
around $400 million and issue of related securities to qualified
institutional buyers (QIBs) upto to Rs 25 Bn. (BS)
4 With its reentry in Gujarat with a residential project comprising luxurious
apartments, Mumbai-based Ajmera Realty, part of the Ajmera Group is
eyeing a Rs 1 Bn revenue from the same. The project, 'Enigma Fragrance
of Life', will be executed through a 50:50 JV with developer company
Sheetal Infrastructure. (BS)
4 GAIL India is cashing in on the shortfall in gas supply to various
companies created by the drop in output from Reliance Industries’ D6
field in the Krishna-Godavari (KG) basin. The country’s biggest gas
marketing company is importing liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the
global spot market and selling most of it to Reliance’s customers in the
power, steel and petrochemicals business. After regasification, the gas is
being sold to customers such as NTPC and Essar Steel. “Even Reliance has
bought some gas from us for its petrochemical plants,” said a GAIL
official. (BS)
4 Homegrown auto major Tata Motors plans to launch new variants of its
small car Nano during FY12. Although the company has not specified
anything about the forthcoming variant, it is widely speculated that a
diesel version of the car is in the offing. (BS)
4 London-listed Vedanta Resources faces tough decision after a panel of
ministers set stringent conditions for approving Cairn India deal even
though after accepting the stipulations the nation's largest private sector
oil producer will still remain a hugely profitable venture. (ET)

Platinum 2011: PGM markets forecast to tighten up .:Macquarie Research

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Platinum 2011: PGM markets forecast
to tighten up
Feature article
 Johnson Matthey (JM) has released its annual PGM market survey (Platinum
2011). The survey points toward tighter PGM markets in 2010 than JM had
originally anticipated in its November 2010 preview, with this tightness
expected to continue into 2011.
 JM's PGM fundamental view is broadly consistent with our own, particularly
with regards to our platinum and palladium market outlooks. We continue to
favour the palladium market fundamentals (versus platinum's) over the
medium to long term, albeit marginally, and we are projecting deficit markets
for both metals for the foreseeable future. We do, however, caution that we
are yet to incorporate JM's latest review into our PGM supply demand model.
Latest news
 Base metals were mixed on Monday. Copper rose on an LME stock
withdrawal and improving sentiment toward the supply-demand balance
following the large SHFE withdrawal for last week (data released Friday). Zinc
continued to be heavily shorted, and we are becoming significantly more
bullish on zinc from these levels.
 Following on from our Commodities Comment titled Copper: Some early
evidence of China tightening up (dated Wednesday, 11 May), we can report that
global copper treatment charges and scrap discounts are also
narrowing/showing signs of tightening. In addition, our feedback on the ground
in China is incrementally bullish, and we are taking our short-term trading call off
of copper as a result (see the Macquarie China Commodity Call, dated 17 May
2011). Copper, in our view, is now a buy, and we highlight that our current 2H11
and 1H12 price forecasts are more than 25% above current spot prices.
 PanAust resources, which operates the 60–70,000tpa Phu Kam copper mine in
Laos, reported on Friday that it had, as a precaution, temporarily suspended
Phu Kham mining and crushing operations (for the safety of its employees and
contractors) after a company security vehicle was fired upon by unknown
assailants. While operations are returning to normal, the company advised that
there had been a number of sporadic security incidents within the company’s
contract area in Laos over the course of the last 12 months.
 Preliminary Indian iron ore export data for April shows a continuation of the
trend evident over the past few months, with volumes down 28% YoY at
9.06mt. This is the 11th consecutive month of YoY falls, with Goa again being
the only state to exhibit growth. Over the first four months of 2011, Indian
exports have fallen 12mt compared with the same period in 2010, another
factor which has contributed to the heavily undersupplied market.
 Brazil’s Samarco has confirmed it is selling iron ore pellets at a $40–45/t
premium to sinter mines in the current quarter. Again, this reflects the change
in mindset in the iron ore pellet market, for which premia of above $20/t have
been rarely seen historically. With contract iron ore prices set to be essentially
flat into 3Q, we also expect minimal change in the premium.

Bilcare Ltd. Q4 FY11 Update:: Sushil

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Q4 and FY11 Performance
During Q4 FY11, Bilcare Limited (BL) has posted 20.0% y‐o‐y growth in topline and 31.3%
EBITDA margins on standalone basis. During FY11, it has presented Consolidated numbers
including contribution from recently acquired films division of Ineos which has been
Consolidated for 7 months starting from Sept 2010. The Consolidated numbers are
therefore not directly comparable to prior year period.

Avoid Timbor Home - IPO Note (Keynote Capitals)

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Issue Highlights

Price Band                                                      :    Rs54 – 63  per share
Minimum Bid Lot Size                                    :    100 Equity Shares
Maximum Bid Lot Size                                    :    3,100 Equity Shares
IPO opens during                                            :    May 30 – June 2, 2011
Book Running Lead Manager                          :    Corporate Strategic Allianz Limited                                                      
To list on                                                        :    NSE & BSE
IPO Grading                                                    :    1 / 5 (CRISIL)
PE                                                                   :    17.59x (based on base price)*
                                                                       :    20.25x (based on cap price)*
Market Cap post-listing                                   :    Rs92.97Cr or $20.89mn (based on the cap price)
Market Cap of Free Float                                 :    Rs48.87Cr or $10.98mn (based on the cap price)      
*Based on FY10 EPS
IPO of 3.69mn equity shares of Rs10each, aggregating to Rs23.25Cr or $5.22mn (at the cap price).

Executive Summary
Ø  Timbor Home Ltd. (THL) is engaged in the manufacturing of modular kitchens, furniture, doors & door frames and kitchen baskets and accessories. It operates as a manufacturer-retailer having a Pan-India presence with more than 80 exclusive stores of kitchen, door and furniture retail outlets operating on franchise model.
Ø  The furniture industry in India is estimated to be worth €5bn, out of which, the wooden furniture accounts for €750mn. The major part i.e., 85% of furniture sector in India consists of the un-organized sector while the remaining organized sector is made up of manufactures and importers catering to the various segment of the industry.
Ø  CSIL Milano has classified India as one of the 14 large furniture markets in the world. This is in view of the fact that India has a middle class population of over 400 million, with a purchasing power on the upswing.
Ø  Modular kitchen market in India is still at a nascent stage but has tremendous growth potential. Market has been witnessing a growth rate of 50% YoY.
Ø  The promoters of THL are well experienced and are well versed in the building material and timber industry since the last 15 years.
Ø  THL manufactures almost 75% of the components that go into making a modular kitchen, the major strengths includes raw material sourcing to finishing.
Our View
Looking at low brand recall, no provision for tax for first 9 months of FY11 and small size of the operations, we advise investors to skip the issue.

Strategy: Booking profits and losses􀁠 Kotak Sec

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Strategy
Alpha Bet
Booking profits and losses. We are closing two trades and initiating a new alpha
trade in the metals sector. The Long HDFC Bank, Short HDFC trade has returned 8.2%
since its inception; we are also booking a loss in our Long Maruti, Short Hero Honda call
which is currently 13.6% below initiation levels. We recommend going Long Sterlite,
Short Hindalco based on the following—(1) STLT’s cheaper valuations versus Hindalco’s,
(2) likely correction in aluminum prices, (3) stronger volume growth in STLT that
provides more visibility to its short-term earnings, and (4) recent Street activity shows a
large number of EPS and target price upgrades for STLT as compared to Hindalco.