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21 November 2011

United Phosphorus:: 2QFY2012 Result Update: Angel Broking,

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For 2QFY2012, United Phosphorus’s (UPL) revenue grew by 40.5% yoy to `1,721cr
and net PAT declined by 50.4% to `56.9cr. Management has increased its revenue
guidance to 30-35% for FY2012, compared to 25-30% revenue growth guided at
the end of FY2011. Management has also reaffirmed its OPM guidance at
19-20%. At `143, the stock is quoting at attractive valuations of 9.3x FY2012E EPS
and 8.6x FY2013E EPS. Hence, we maintain our Buy rating on the stock.
Strong revenue growth: UPL reported strong revenue growth of 40.5% yoy to
`1,721cr during 2QFY2012. Robust growth was supported by a 25% yoy increase
in India business and 48% growth in the international business. US, UPL’s key
market, witnessed 12% growth in sales, while Europe and RoW posted robust
growth of 3% and 105%, respectively. Revenue growth was impacted by 5% due to
the unfavorable exchange variance. However, volumes continued to be strong,
moving up by 31% in 2QFY2012.
Outlook and valuation: We expect UPL to post a CAGR of 13% and 14% in its sales
and PAT over FY2011-13, respectively. At current valuations of 9.3x FY2012E EPS
and 8.6x FY2013E EPS, the stock is attractively valued. Hence, we maintain our Buy
recommendation on the stock with a revised target price of `180.

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