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Ranbaxy Labs
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Over optimism in the stock, Downgrade to Reduce
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REDUCE
CMP: Rs534 Target Price: Rs424
n Ranbaxy’s Q2CY11 results were below expectations. Revenue de-grew 2% YoY to Rs21bn, EBITDA de-grew 56% to Rs1.8bn and APAT de-grew 67% to Rs1.5bn
n Adjusted for FTF exclusivity (Valtrex in Q2CY10 and Aricept in Q2CY11), base business revenues grew at 8.2% YoY and domestic business grew by 6% only
n Current valuations have over factored the future potential of FTF opportunities and current performance of the business doesn’t justify these valuations
n Downgrade to Reduce with a target price of Rs424 (20xbase business earnings + Rs82 Para-IV NPV)
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