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19 April 2011

Tata Motors – JLR sales - LandRover impresses us:: RBS

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JLR sales volume for March saw just 2% growth yoy (due to large base effect) which is marginally
below the RBS estimate. However, LandRover scaling strong 7.6% yoy growth in March month
surprises us, as the high-margin product forms 85% of total quarter volume. Upside risk to our 4Q
estimate. Buy.
High base overshadows strong sales volume and mix benefit
􀀟 Jaguar car sales volume recorded a sharp 18.7% drop yoy in March month, as its large
volume X-series was discontinued since 1QFY11. But MoM, Jaguar record impressive 17.4%
growth.
􀀟 Land Rover recorded 7.6% yoy and 10.2% mom to record 2-year high sales volume of 20,329
vehicles.
􀀟 The number plate change phenomenon in its largest market of United Kingdom (UK) in
March, helped JLR scale a record sales in UK markets.



􀀟 For FY11F, JLR sales volume recorded 24.5% growth, driven by LR volume growth of 28.7%,
whereas Jaguar was a laggard. We expect the trend to continue in FY12 with 20% JLR
volume growth, driven by the new Range Rover Evoque expected to be launched in 2QFY12.
􀀟 For 4QFY11, we see upside risk to our Rs.25.9bn consolidate PAT estimate as its high profit
margin LandRover scales up to form 84.8% of total JLR sales volume for the quarter.

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