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17 January 2011

ICICI Sec: Week Ahead : Nifty has crucial support in the range of 5650-5605

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Previous Week : Annual food inflation rose by 18%
 
 
Indian equities witnessed heavy selling pressure through out the weak which even intensified on the last trading day of the week and closed down by more than 4% for the week. Indian Markets was highly volatile during the week trading choppily. Nifty was trading in a range of almost 200 points for the week.
On a week-on-week basis, the Sensex was down by 854 points or
4.3%, to close at 18860 levels
The S&P CNX Nifty also closed in the red by 250 points, or 4.2%, to
close at 5654 for the week. Banking, Power, Capital goods stocks were the major losers, with index heavyweight State Bank, SAIL, Axis Bank, Reliance and Tata Motors witnessed heavy selling pressure
On the domestic front the economic news flow was mixed
The IIP data was 2.7% (below expectations) while food inflation was
~16 % (from 20% previous week). However, the December 2010 inflation numbers were revised upwards to 8.43%
Infosys , HDFC delivered their Q3 FY11 nos more or less in line with
 
street expectations while SAIL disappointed the street
Steel makers have raised prices by 4-5 % on account of increase in
raw material costs
Amongst the key economic data releases, annual food inflation rose
by 18% while the head line inflation rose 20.2%
Although US employment increased by less than expected in
 
December 2010, revisions to the data from the past few months reflected a net increase of 70,000 jobs
Portugal bond sale was successful confirmation from the US
Federal Reserve that economic recovery was under way along with improvement in the job market
However, on Thursday, the Labour Department released a report
 showing that initial jobless claims rose to 445,000 in the week ended January 8, 2011
 
WeeAhead : Nifty has crucial support in the range of 5650-5605
 
Nifty has tanked almost 500 points during last two weeks, which has resulted bearish sentiment among investors. Foreign funds have been net sellers since last 5 trading sessions, while domestic funds are net buyers.
Market will keep a close watch at the Q3 results starting with index
heavy weights TCS, AXIS Bank, L&T followed by GAIL, BHEL, PNB, SBI
Among the key global data to watch for is China GDP, US initial job
claims, US existing home sales
Nifty has crucial support in the range of 5650-5605 for the week
breaching which the index can test 5520 levels
On the higher side, 5830 and 5904 are strong resistance levels for
the week
 
Sincerely,
ICICIdirect.com

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