Southwest Monsoon |
Ending on a positive note |
Ending on a positive note
The southwest monsoon that started with a lag, turning sluggish immediately after, picked up quickly with increased momentum, ends on a positive note. The monsoon has covered 102% of its full season. The rainfall for the week ended September 29, 2010 was, ~37% below its long period average (LPA). The cumulative rainfall for the week ended September 29, 2010 stood at ~2% above its LPA.
The number of divisions experiencing excess/normal rainfall remained unchanged at 31 from last week. The number of regions experiencing scanty rainfall stood at 5 and has not changed since the previous week.
Cumulative rainfall ends at ~2% above LPA
The season ending September 29, 2010, saw the cumulative rainfall deficit ending in the green at 2.5% above LPA. Rain dependent areas stood at ~4% above their LPA and rain-fed areas at 2.1% below theirs. Rainfall deficits in all regions have ended in positive territory with normal rainfall, except for the five regions that have been consistently hit by deficit. The regions with significant deficits in increasing intensities are Bihar, East Uttar Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Gangetic West Bengal and Jharkhand.
Monsoon at 102% of its full season
The monsoon as a % of its full season stands at 102. Improvement in rain dependant areas has significantly contributed to this betterment with rainfall at ~103% of its full season. Well irrigated and rain-fed areas closed at ~90% and ~99% of their full season respectively.
Reservoir levels at 75% of their FRL’s
The reservoir levels stand at 75% of their full reservoir level (FRL) and at 114% of their LPA. Prospects of a good rabi crop seem promising with the robust pick up in reservoir levels.
Forecast rainfall for parts of south peninsula and east India
As the season comes to an end, so does the incidence of rainfall. The weekly rainfall for the previous week saw reduced momentum, indicating a gradual end to season. However, good showers are expected in the regions of Kerela, south Karnataka and west Tamil Nadu.
Acreage for kharif crops at ~1006 lakh hectares
Kharif crop acreage has touched 1006.24 lakh hectares (lh) as of 24th September 2010. This is a ~7% increase over the acreage of last year. Of the major crops, acreage for rice has seen an increase of ~7% over last year, pulses by ~22% and sugarcane by ~17%. Oilseed acreage has seen a meagre 0.5% increase over the same period last year and coarse cereals have seen a modest increase of 2.3%.Deficient rainfall in rice producing regions of West Bengal, Bihar and Jharkhand would affect the final production of rice.
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